Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Carefusion Reports

Portfolio holding Carefusion (CFN) reported earnings after the bell today.  I just had time for a quick glance at the numbers, and I'll listen to the call later today, but I wanted to get a quick post up here.  At first glance, the numbers look pretty solid with a beat on revenue, and EPS excluding non-recurring items.  They also raised revenue and net income guidance for FY 2010.  Overall, nice to see this report, but we'll have to see the reaction the market gives because lately it has been selling numbers like this, so we'll see.  Some commentary from the CEO:


"We continued to execute well during our second quarter and performed ahead of our expectations," said David Schlotterbeck, chairman and CEO of CareFusion. "Hospital capital spending made modest improvements during the quarter and we continued to win key customer contracts. We also benefited in our respiratory business from government and hospital flu preparedness planning.

"As I look ahead to the second half of the fiscal year, we will make progress on our long-term plans for growth, stepping up our investments in R&D and sales and marketing to grow our key franchises and extend into important market adjacencies."

Disclosure: Long CFN

Jim Tisch Tells It Like It Is

We bought Loews yesterday after their quarterly results.  I always like to listen to their call (or read the transcript; thank you Seeking Alpha), because CEO Jim Tisch always gives some great commentary.  It usually is during the Q&A portion, and he speaks about the economy, often in detail.  To me, there is aren't many better places to get good info than someone like this, who oversees businesses in many industries.

Bloomberg had a great article out today.  They must have interviewed Jim Tisch because these are not quotes from the call.  Either way, he tells it like it is, and I agree with him 100%.

Regarding the hotel industry:

 Jim Tisch, the leader of Loews Corp., said the U.S. did a “good job of killing” the hotel business by lambasting corporate travel and hurt American International Group Inc.’s ability to return bailout funds by curbing pay.
“The criticism that took place of group travel was really a death knell for the industry,” Tisch said yesterday in an interview at an office of the New York-based holding company, which owns hotels. “It’s easy for the politician to get the sound bite. What they are doing with those sound bites is putting maids and bellmen out of work.”
About AIG:
Loews also owns natural gas exploration operations and the majority of commercial insurer CNA Financial Corp., which competes against AIG selling commercial insurance. Loews reported its third straight quarterly profit yesterday on improved results from gas exploration and Chicago-based CNA.
Loews has hired AIG staff, primarily to manage investments, who “do a phenomenal job for us,” Tisch said. New York-based AIG has a harder time retaining the “best and the brightest” managers after lawmakers criticized the company’s retention bonus awards and the Obama administration limited compensation for top executives, he said.
“Last time I looked, we don’t have indentured servitude in the United States,” he said. “The situation is such that the good people have every incentive to leave to maximize their income.”
Regarding the new bank tax:
Tisch joined billionaire Warren Buffett in opposing the Obama administration’s proposed fee on lenders to repay bailout funds. He said it is unfair to penalize financial firms when regulators, mortgage brokers and borrowers contributed to the recession as well.
“It sounds good when you say it fast,” Tisch said. “To take out this retribution solely on the banks makes sense from the populist politician’s perspective but is not necessarily good economic policy. If they put this tax in place, it will simply make it more expensive for people to borrow money because banks are in the business of earning a rate of return on their capital.”

This is one of the main reasons why Loews is so attractive to me.  Not only does the company have great assets, and is trading at value prices, but their management is top notch and knows how things really work.  These guys are conservative managers who don't over leverage their businesses, but know when its time to deploy capital and take risks.  

Disclosure: Long L

Monday, February 8, 2010

New Purchase

Loews Corp. (L) reported earnings this morning, and I'll be listening to the call momentarily.  The numbers were pretty solid as operations continue to improve at CNA financial, which could really propel earnings in the next couple of quarters.  Diamond Offshore was off just a bit, as we found out late last week.  But overall, things are strengthening here as book value improved to $39.76.  I bought some shares this morning at $35.08 to get started.

Here are the details from the announcement.  I'll be posting again after I listen to the call, if there is anything noteworthy.  Also, they did buyback 5.8 million shares during the past quarter, which they said they will continue to do as long as the stock stays undervalued.

We'll see what happens here, but I'd ultimately like to build this stock into one of my largest positions.

Disclosure: Long L

Monday, February 1, 2010

Predictable Monday

Today's action was pretty predictable considering what happened last week.  We got what appeared to be a oversold bounce.  When I say oversold, I mean very short-term.  I still would like to see a few more percentage points come off before I like valuations.  Plus, looking back over the past few months, Mondays have been very very good.

Some stocks I am close to buying: Loews, Forest Labs, and adding to Compass Diversified Holdings.

Not much otherwise to talk about today.  I'll be watching earnings in these names tomorrow: COCO,CMI,FISV,MTW,NWSA,OESX,DOW,UPS.

Disclosure: Long CODI

Friday, January 29, 2010

Good Earnings, Data Not Enough

When the market decides to sell the news, or just plain sell off, there is little that can stop it.  We've had three pretty significant things within the last 24 that would have allowed the market to turnaround.

1) Bernanke re-appointed. -Takes uncertainty out of the market, rates will stay artificially low, and someone on board with more stimulus.

2) Strong earnings from Amazon. -The market loved this in the past couple of quarters.  They are performing well, although I couldn't buy the stock at that valuation.

3) GDP number comes in at 5.7%.- Fastest gains in six years, although we were coming off some pretty low numbers in previous quarters and that pace will be pretty hard to sustain.  But, the market would have applauded this a few weeks ago.

FYI, another interesting name I found in the Pharmaceutical Industry is Forest Labs (FRX). The valuation alone makes it worth a look, and I'll write more about it if I decide to make a purchase.

Disclosure: None